Mount Kenya Politics: Ruto, Uhuru, and Raila’s Political Realignment.
In African tradition, a visit by one elder to another’s homestead carries profound cultural and political implications. This was evident when President William Ruto visited his predecessor, Uhuru Kenyatta, at his Ichaweri home in Gatundu, Kiambu County, in early December.
Officially, the visit was framed as a consultative meeting between statesmen to discuss national issues, including political reconciliation, economic challenges, and governance. After the meeting, both leaders released individual statements addressing their perspectives.
Key Messages from the Leaders
President Ruto emphasized his administration’s achievements and commended Kenyatta for peacefully handing over power, despite supporting an opposing candidate. He attributed Kenya’s economic struggles to global factors, such as the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war, which disrupted supply chains.
On the other hand, Kenyatta highlighted the need for political inclusivity, reconstitution of the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC), and the establishment of a robust opposition to address political and governance concerns.
Political Undertones of the Visit
Analysts suggest the visit was part of Ruto’s strategy to regain influence in the Mount Kenya region, which has grown increasingly critical of his administration. The impeachment of former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua has unsettled the region, disrupting their succession plans.
Gachagua’s replacement with Kithure Kindiki from Tharaka Nithi has not garnered significant political traction among the populous Kikuyu, who view Kindiki as an unsuitable substitute for their leader. Critics argue that the Embu and Meru communities have historically played peripheral roles in the political framework dominated by the Kikuyu within the GEMA alliance.
Mount Kenya’s Strategic Role
The Kikuyu electorate, pivotal in the 2022 presidential poll, supported Ruto to block his rival, Raila Odinga, rather than out of genuine allegiance. Observers note that their 2022 choice reflected a rejection of Raila rather than an endorsement of Ruto.
With the possibility of Raila stepping back from the 2027 race, the region faces uncertainty. A diminished voter turnout or a shift in alliances could significantly affect the political landscape.
Raila’s Role in 2027
If Raila ascends to the African Union Commission chairmanship and skips the 2027 presidential race, Mount Kenya risks losing its unifying “scarecrow” figure. This scenario could weaken Ruto’s chances while opening opportunities for Kalonzo Musyoka, Raila’s long-time ally, to mount a strong bid for the presidency.
Raila’s potential alignment with Ruto has further fueled political intrigue, with Mount Kenya leaders accusing Raila of abandoning his opposition role. The region also continues to deflect blame for past corruption scandals onto Ruto’s camp, despite playing a central role in his rise to power.
Political Dynamics and Challenges
Raila’s critics within Mount Kenya have resisted his AUC chairmanship bid, deviating from the norm of national unity in pursuing international positions. This opposition reflects a broader strategy to keep both Raila and Ruto on the 2027 ballot, splitting their voting blocs.
Meanwhile, President Ruto aims to secure Raila’s support to bolster his re-election prospects, banking on Raila’s extensive grassroots following across Kenya.
Youth Factor in 2027
Beyond traditional political alliances, the Gen-Z demographic poses a unique challenge. The government’s failure to address youth grievances after the June uprisings has alienated this critical voting bloc.
Their engagement will likely determine the outcome of the 2027 elections, necessitating targeted efforts to integrate them into decision-making structures.
Uhuru Kenyatta’s Legacy
Despite the political shifts, Uhuru Kenyatta remains a key figure in Mount Kenya, with his counsel highly regarded.
His reconciliation with Ruto during the Ichaweri visit signals a thawing of their strained relationship. As Ruto seeks to consolidate his support in Mount Kenya, he may increasingly rely on Uhuru to bridge the gaps left by Gachagua’s absence.
Read Also: Raila Defends Uhuru-Ruto Ichaweri Meeting, Dispels Handshake Claims
Conclusion
The evolving alliances and rivalries within Mount Kenya will shape Kenya’s political trajectory in 2027. As President Ruto intensifies his engagements in the region, his ability to navigate these dynamics will be critical. The interplay between Ruto, Raila, and Mount Kenya’s leadership remains a focal point of the nation’s political discourse.
